Estonia
One of the first movers after the Netherlands, and proof that recognising a type approval costs a small country nothing. The fleet is tiny, so the lives figure is tiny — the significance is procedural, not statistical.
Where it sits
Tesla fleet
Estimated share of the ~40–55k 'other Europe' Tesla bucket. No brand-level parc is published.
Road safety baseline
A safer baseline means less room for FSD to help. Estonia is already safer than the EU average, which is why the figures here look modest next to countries with the same fleet size.
How this number is worked out
50 road deaths × 0.83 crash reduction × ( 500 active FSD users ÷ 560K vehicles ) = 0.0 lives / year
Because FSD is switched on here, the calculation uses the 500 drivers actually using it, not the whole fleet — this is measured impact, not potential. The 83% figure is the midpoint of Tesla's published crash-rate data; the vehicle total assumes 400 vehicles per 1,000 people. Full workings on the methodology page.
What changed here
Estonia recognised the Dutch RDW provisional type approval under UN R171 on 29 May 2026. Every Tesla in the country with the right hardware could use FSD Supervised from that date.
Before that date it sat in the blocked column like the rest of Europe: this page counts 0.1 lives lost during that wait, and stops adding to it.