Luxembourg
Tiny population, high Tesla density, and a road-death rate above the EU average. Luxembourg is the cheapest possible recognition decision in the bloc.
Where it sits
Tesla fleet
Estimated share of the ~40โ55k 'other Europe' Tesla bucket.
Road safety baseline
A safer baseline means less room for FSD to help. Luxembourg is more dangerous than the EU average, so each Tesla here carries more potential impact than one in Scandinavia.
How this number is worked out
30 road deaths ร 0.83 crash reduction ร ( 3,500 the whole Tesla fleet รท 264K vehicles ) = 0.3 lives / year
Because FSD is blocked here, the calculation uses the whole 3,500-car fleet: this is what Luxembourg is currently giving up, not what it is getting. The 83% figure is the midpoint of Tesla's published crash-rate data; the vehicle total assumes 400 vehicles per 1,000 people. Full workings on the methodology page.
Who decides
Luxembourg has not recognised the Dutch type approval. As an EU member it could recognise it tomorrow, as six other members already have โ or wait for the bloc-wide vote.
Head of government: @LucFrieden ยท Follow the approval news โ