Poland
The starkest mismatch in Europe: 38 million people, a road-death rate of 6.7 per 100,000 — more than three times Sweden's — and only about 14,000 Teslas. The need is greatest here and the fleet is smallest.
Where it sits
Tesla fleet
Cumulative registrations less attrition, from a small base. No official brand-level parc is published.
New registrations
| Year | New Teslas | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 4,461 | — |
| 2025 | 3,931 | -12% |
| 2026 to date | 2,306 | part year |
Registrations are the yearly flow of new cars, not the fleet. The 14,000 figure above is the stock — every Tesla currently on the road. 2026 covers January to 31 August, so it is not comparable with a full year: like for like it is low.
Road safety baseline
A safer baseline means less room for FSD to help. Poland is more dangerous than the EU average, so each Tesla here carries more potential impact than one in Scandinavia.
How this number is worked out
2,546 road deaths × 0.83 crash reduction × ( 14,000 the whole Tesla fleet ÷ 15M vehicles ) = 1.9 lives / year
Because FSD is blocked here, the calculation uses the whole 14,000-car fleet: this is what Poland is currently giving up, not what it is getting. The 83% figure is the midpoint of Tesla's published crash-rate data; the vehicle total assumes 400 vehicles per 1,000 people. Full workings on the methodology page.
Who decides
Poland has not recognised the Dutch type approval. As an EU member it could recognise it tomorrow, as six other members already have — or wait for the bloc-wide vote.
Head of government: @donaldtusk · Follow the approval news →