Sweden
Sweden has the safest roads in this tracker at 2.0 deaths per 100,000, and suffered Europe's steepest Tesla collapse — registrations fell 67% in 2025 and have not recovered. It is also one of the countries pressing for changes to FSD's speed-offset behaviour before backing bloc-wide approval.
Where it sits
Tesla fleet
Strong 2021–24 registration base followed by a 67% collapse in 2025, less attrition.
New registrations
| Year | New Teslas | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21,897 | — |
| 2025 | 7,252 | -67% |
| 2026 to date | 5,849 | part year |
Registrations are the yearly flow of new cars, not the fleet. The 87,000 figure above is the stock — every Tesla currently on the road. 2026 covers January to 31 August, so it is not comparable with a full year: like for like it is still weak.
Road safety baseline
A safer baseline means less room for FSD to help. Sweden is already safer than the EU average, which is why the figures here look modest next to countries with the same fleet size.
How this number is worked out
210 road deaths × 0.83 crash reduction × ( 87,000 the whole Tesla fleet ÷ 4.20M vehicles ) = 3.6 lives / year
Because FSD is blocked here, the calculation uses the whole 87,000-car fleet: this is what Sweden is currently giving up, not what it is getting. The 83% figure is the midpoint of Tesla's published crash-rate data; the vehicle total assumes 400 vehicles per 1,000 people. Full workings on the methodology page.
Who decides
Sweden has not recognised the Dutch type approval. As an EU member it could recognise it tomorrow, as six other members already have — or wait for the bloc-wide vote.
Head of government: @SwedishPM · Follow the approval news →